In early June, Moomoo and Kalshi began offering event contracts regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. The contracts cover three broad categories: economic indicators, election outcomes, and sports results. One standout contract already drawing attention is for Peru's second-round presidential election, where betting has narrowed to a tight victory for Fujimori.
What the Contracts Cover
The CFTC-regulated contracts let users bet on a range of real-world events. Economic contracts include metrics like inflation figures and employment data. Election contracts cover races in multiple countries, including the Peru runoff. Sports contracts range from championship winners to game-day stats. Moomoo and Kalshi are both regulated platforms, so the contracts fall under U.S. derivatives oversight. That marks a shift from offshore or unregulated prediction markets that have operated in a gray area.
Peru's Election Betting Tightens
Among the election contracts, the Peru second-round race is the most actively traded so far. The focus has settled on a narrow victory for Fujimori, according to the contract pricing. That mirrors recent polls that show the race is close but leaning toward the conservative candidate. The contracts allow users to buy shares that pay out if the final result matches the chosen outcome. Because they're CFTC-regulated, the contracts must meet reporting and transparency standards — something unregulated platforms often lack.
The launch comes less than a month before the actual vote, giving traders a short window to position themselves. Moomoo and Kalshi did not disclose trading volume or the number of active users, but the contracts are live now on both platforms.
