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SpaceX Files Confidential IPO, Rocket Lab Beats Estimates, AST SpaceMobile Satellite Fails to Reach Orbit

SpaceX Files Confidential IPO, Rocket Lab Beats Estimates, AST SpaceMobile Satellite Fails to Reach Orbit

SpaceX has filed a confidential S-1 with the SEC as of April 1, 2026, setting the stage for a public listing expected in late June or early July at a valuation of $1.75 trillion. The public version of the filing is due in late May. The news came during a busy week for the space sector, as Rocket Lab reported quarterly earnings that beat analyst forecasts but saw its stock slide, while AST SpaceMobile grappled with a satellite failure that threatens its year-end deployment target.

SpaceX's Confidential Filing

The company's confidential S-1 filing was made on April 1, 2026, with the public version expected in late May. The IPO listing is anticipated in late June or early July, valuing the company at $1.75 trillion. The move marks a significant step for SpaceX as it transitions from a privately held launch provider to a publicly traded company. Further details on the offering will emerge once the public S-1 is released.

Rocket Lab's Mixed Earnings Report

Rocket Lab (RKLB) reported Q1 2026 revenue of $200.3 million, topping the $189 million estimate. Earnings per share came in at -$0.07, beating the -$0.08 forecast. The company also posted a backlog of $2.2 billion, up 20% quarter over quarter. During the quarter, Rocket Lab signed 31 new Electron and HASTE contracts and five Neutron launches. For Q2 2026, management guided revenue of $235 million, above the $205 million estimate, but gross margins of 39% fell short of the 41% consensus. Despite the earnings beat, Rocket Lab stock fell 7.17% to $78.58 on May 7, 2026. The decline was attributed to profit-taking after a 240% year-over-year run. Options activity told a different story: the volume put-call ratio stood at 0.53 on May 7, compared to 0.73 at the last earnings miss, signaling that options traders remained bullish.

AST SpaceMobile's Orbital Setback

AST SpaceMobile faced a major hurdle on April 20, 2026, when its BlueBird 7 satellite failed to reach orbit. The loss jeopardizes the company's goal of deploying a 45-satellite constellation by year-end. In response, ASTS announced a mid-June 2026 Falcon 9 launch for BlueBird 8-10, a window that overlaps with SpaceX's IPO roadshow. The company's stock closed at $65.35 on May 7, down 7.54%, with earnings due the following Monday. Since hitting a high of $129.78 on February 2, 2026, ASTS has fallen 51.27%. Options activity showed a drop in the volume put-call ratio from 0.62 to 0.45 since early April 2026, while implied volatility sat at 112.55% ahead of earnings, reflecting uncertainty.

AST SpaceMobile's earnings report, due Monday, will provide further clarity on the financial impact of the BlueBird 7 failure and the company's revised deployment timeline. Meanwhile, Rocket Lab's Q2 guidance and SpaceX's upcoming public S-1 release will keep the space sector in focus through late May and into summer.