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US and Iran agree to 60-day cease-fire, bringing potential relief to global energy markets

US and Iran agree to 60-day cease-fire, bringing potential relief to global energy markets

The United States and Iran have agreed to a 60-day cease-fire, according to officials from both countries. The temporary halt in hostilities comes after months of rising tensions and could help stabilize global energy prices that have been volatile since the conflict escalated.

Cease-fire details and duration

The agreement covers a 60-day period, with no immediate word on whether it can be extended. Neither side has released the full text of the deal, but both confirmed the cessation of military operations. The cease-fire took effect at midnight local time.

Impact on energy and inflation

Oil markets reacted positively in early trading, with crude prices dropping as traders priced in reduced supply disruption risk. The cease-fire is seen as a factor that could lower energy costs, which have contributed to stubborn inflation in many economies. Central banks monitoring the situation may find some breathing room if the truce holds, potentially slowing the pace of interest rate hikes.

Nuclear concerns remain unresolved

The cease-fire does not address the underlying nuclear dispute between the two countries. Iran’s uranium enrichment program, which has advanced beyond agreed limits, continues without a monitoring framework. US officials have said the 60-day window is meant to create space for diplomatic talks, but no negotiations have been scheduled. Without a resolution on the nuclear file, the risk of future sanctions or military action remains.

Analysts caution that the cease-fire is a temporary measure. The core issues — enrichment levels, inspector access, and sanctions relief — have not been tackled. If talks fail, the truce could collapse, sending energy prices back up.

Both governments face domestic pressure. In Tehran, hardliners criticize any deal with Washington, while Washington lawmakers from both parties demand a tougher line on Iran’s nuclear program. The next 60 days will test whether diplomacy can achieve more than a pause in fighting.