AAVE is trading at $87.19, sitting below every major moving average. The token hasn't found a clear direction, but order flow tells a mixed story: smart money is quietly leaning long while retail keeps hitting bids. Over the next two weeks, the price could either flush down to $83-$84 or push up to $92.
Price Action Below the Averages
For now, AAVE remains under pressure from a technical standpoint. Being below all major moving averages typically signals bearish momentum, and the token hasn't managed to reclaim any of them. That leaves the short-term trend pointed down, even if buyers are trying to step in at these levels.
The last few sessions have seen AAVE hovering around the $87 mark without much conviction. Volume hasn't picked up enough to suggest a breakout, and the lack of a clear catalyst keeps the market in a wait-and-see mode.
Smart Money vs. Retail Flow
What's interesting is how different groups are positioning. Smart money — typically larger, more informed traders — is leaning long on AAVE. That's a contrarian signal when retail flow is doing the opposite. Retail order flow keeps hitting bids, meaning smaller traders are buying dips, but they're not getting much traction.
The divergence isn't unusual in crypto. When smart money accumulates while retail sells, it can set up a reversal. But when retail is the one buying, it often means the bottom isn't in yet. Right now, the two sides are pulling in different directions, which explains the choppy price action.
The Two-Way Setup
The current prediction for AAVE is a binary outcome within 14 days. One scenario has the token flushing to $83-$84, a level that would likely attract stronger buying interest. The other has AAVE moving up to $92, which would represent a solid gain from here.
Neither path is a sure thing. The flush scenario would require sellers to push through the $85 support zone, while the upside move needs buyers to step in and hold above recent highs. The next two weeks should resolve which direction wins.
Levels to Watch
Traders are keeping an eye on $83-$84 as the key downside target. A break below that could open the door to further losses. On the upside, $92 is the level to beat — a close above it would signal that the smart money positioning is paying off.
The 14-day window puts a timeline on the trade. If AAVE stays stuck in this range, the prediction will expire without a clear resolution. But the setup suggests a move is coming, and the direction depends on whether buyers or sellers take control first.
