Arbitrum's native token ARB could lose another 17% of its value within the next 10 days, dropping to $0.10, according to market predictions citing persistent technical weakness and mounting selling pressure. The forecast comes as momentum indicators continue to flash cautionary signals, even as so-called smart money — large, informed investors — remains broadly bullish on the token.
Why the $0.10 target is on the table
The prediction model points to a near-term slide fueled by deteriorating price action. ARB has been under pressure for weeks, and the latest technical reads aren't offering much relief. Momentum oscillators, which track the speed and strength of price moves, are leaning bearish. That suggests the token could keep falling unless buying volume steps up in a meaningful way.
A 17% drop from current levels would put ARB at $0.10 — a psychological round number that often acts as a magnet for traders looking for support. But whether that level holds is anyone's guess. The selling pressure, the model says, remains the dominant force for now.
Smart money is betting the other way
Despite the bearish technical picture, smart money wallets have been accumulating ARB. That divergence — retail traders dumping while large holders buy — is a classic setup that can either signal a contrarian bottom or a trap where early dip-buyers get crushed before a real recovery.
The facts don't say who specifically is buying, but the pattern is clear: addresses with historically profitable trades are adding to their ARB positions. That doesn't guarantee a turnaround, but it does mean some deep-pocketed players see value at current prices — or at least believe the selloff is overdone.
What the momentum indicators are saying
The cautionary signals come from several technical tools traders watch. Momentum indicators, which include measures like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and moving average convergence divergence (MACD), are all pointing lower. None have flashed an oversold reading yet, which means the selling could have further to run before exhaustion sets in.
That's a tricky spot for anyone trying to call a bottom. When momentum is still bearish but not yet extreme, prices can grind lower slowly — the kind of slide that wears down confidence and triggers stop-losses along the way.
The next few days will test whether the bullish smart money thesis wins out or the technical pressure drives the token to that $0.10 forecast. If ARB reaches that level, all eyes will be on whether buyers step in or the selloff accelerates. There's no scheduled catalyst on the horizon — no major protocol upgrade or exchange listing — so the near-term direction will be decided by market flow and sentiment alone.
Will the $0.10 level hold if it gets there? That's the question nobody can answer yet.
