Dogecoin is trading at $0.104 as of Monday, hovering just above the $0.10 support level after an intraday high of $0.1126. The retest comes as analyst Cryptollica points to a pattern that has correctly identified every major bottom for the memecoin since 2015 — what they call a potential fourth cycle bottom.
The $0.10 floor
Dogecoin has spent months grinding through a wide base around $0.10. That price zone is now the line of defense. If it breaks, the whole structure the analyst is watching falls apart. But if it holds, the argument for a bottom gets stronger.
The current dip follows an intraday push above $0.11 that faded quickly. The coin is now back in the same range it's been stuck in for weeks.
Cycle bottom signals
Cryptollica's analysis uses three signals to time the bottom: oversold weekly RSI, long compression, and price holding around the cycle support zone near $0.10. The weekly RSI has fallen into the same territory as previous cycle lows from 2015, 2020, and 2022.
The compression part is about time. Dogecoin hasn't made a decisive move in either direction for months, which the analyst reads as potential seller exhaustion. In past cycles, that kind of grinding base preceded big rallies.
The exhaustion sentiment
Cryptollica ties each prior bottom to a dominant market emotion. 2015 was disbelief. 2020 was boredom. 2022 was anger. The current phase: exhaustion. That fits a market that's been drifting sideways with little conviction from either bulls or bears.
It's not a precise science, but the pattern is consistent. The question is whether exhaustion turns into accumulation or just more sideways drift.
What needs to happen next
To confirm the bottom, Dogecoin needs to hold $0.10 support and form higher lows on the weekly chart. Then it has to break above resistance at $0.15 and $0.20. If that happens, Cryptollica's analysis points to a top target above $2.
That's a long way from $0.10. But the pattern suggests the setup is in place — if the floor holds. For now, $0.10 is the level to watch.
