A prominent XRP analyst is pushing back against the idea that the token’s long-awaited $100 target is just around the corner. EGRAG CRYPTO, who has been tracking the asset for years, argues the path is anything but straightforward — and that multiple corrections, including what he calls an ‘E’ phase of uncomfortable crashes, are likely before any real breakout rally begins. XRP currently sits about 530% below its first major target zone of $9, according to the analyst.
The macro triangle still holds
Since 2017, XRP’s price has been contained inside a broad white triangular pattern on the longer-term charts. The token is now near the lower end of that structure on the weekly timeframe, close to where the 7-week moving average and the 11 EMA converge. The 2-month candlestick chart also shows a long-term compression — the kind that often precedes a big move, but not necessarily an immediate one.
EGRAG CRYPTO warns that traders frequently misread macro charts. Price leads, indicators follow, and moving-average crosses alone shouldn’t be treated as confirmation that a parabolic phase has begun.
Realistic targets before $100
The analyst lays out a clear set of nearer-term price goals. Those are $9.51 (the 1.618 Fibonacci extension), $17.23 (the 2.0 Fib extension), and $26.30 (the 2.272 Fib extension). Before any of that, XRP must first reclaim the overall macro structure and clear what EGRAG calls the “green-box zone” — roughly $9 to $17. Only after the token moves above $26, he says, can the chart structure even begin to price in a future path to $100.
Importantly, $100 is not the full measured move from the current triangle pattern. It’s not a target for this cycle at all. The analyst describes the token’s eventual path upward as one that will involve “painful retracements and emotional shakeouts,” not a clean ascent.
What the ‘E’ phase could mean
The mention of a possible ‘E’ phase refers to a pattern where the asset endures one more sharp correction — or series of corrections — before the next leg higher. For holders who have been waiting years, the timing isn’t great. But EGRAG CRYPTO isn’t saying the bull case is dead; he’s saying the ride up will be rough and that the $100 target remains a longer-term structural possibility, not a near-term bet.
The question now is whether XRP can first reclaim the structure and then punch through that $9–$17 zone. Until it does, the analyst’s message is clear: don’t mistake macro compression for an imminent breakout.
