Google's Gemini AI model has laid out a price target for XRP that could see the token climb to $1.50-$1.80 within the next 60 days — but only if it closes decisively above a critical resistance level. The prediction hinges on a trendline break at $1.11, which the AI describes as a precursor to the move.
The Trendline Break That Could Trigger a Rally
Gemini AI identifies a trendline break at $1.11 as the first technical signal. If XRP can follow through and close above $1.18, the model projects a rally toward the $1.50-$1.80 range. That kind of move would represent a significant bounce from current levels. XRP closed at $1.11517 at the time of analysis, with a session range of $1.09823 to $1.12895.
The bull case, according to Gemini AI, is a 'supply squeeze' scenario. The model points to spot ETF inflows absorbing available float, combined with improving US regulatory clarity, as forces that could tighten supply and push prices higher.
Why On-Chain Activity Raises Questions
But the AI model also flags a warning sign. On-chain active addresses remain low, indicating limited network usage. That's a contrast to the kind of fundamental demand that would normally support a sustained rally. Without a pickup in real activity, any price jump could be fragile.
RSI sits near 44 with a signal line near 42, turning mildly positive. That suggests short-term momentum is leaning up, but not yet strong enough to confirm a breakout.
What Happens If XRP Loses $1.00
If the rally fails and XRP falls below the psychological $1.00 support, Gemini AI predicts a fast correction to $0.85. That would mark a sharp drop from the September 2025 top near $3.20. The token has been in decline since then, with a significant gap down through $1.60 in February 2025. Since February, XRP traded in a tightening range between $1.30 and $1.60, then slipped under $1.20 in June 2025.
The Technical Picture: Support and Resistance
Support levels sit at $1.05, then the psychological $1.00 mark. On the upside, resistance is stacked at $1.18, $1.30, and $1.60. The immediate test is whether XRP can hold above $1.11 and push through $1.18. A failure to do so could keep the token trapped in its current range, or worse, send it lower.
Gemini AI's prediction is based on a technical setup that has worked before, but the low on-chain activity is a real headwind. The next 60 days will show whether the supply squeeze thesis can overcome the weak usage data.
