HBAR is trading at $0.07, with every moving average acting as a ceiling above the current price. The token has been unable to break through these levels, leaving the near-term outlook bearish despite signs that large traders are quietly building long positions.
Futures data reveals a split between smart money and retail
Futures market data shows a clear divergence. Large traders — often referred to as smart money — are net long on HBAR, while retail traders are predominantly short. That kind of positioning can sometimes foreshadow a squeeze, but it hasn't yet translated into upward momentum. The current price action remains stuck under resistance, with no breakout in sight.
A potential target of $0.085, but the path is blocked
Some analysts see room for a move to $0.085, a level that would represent a roughly 21% gain from the current spot. But the reality on the ground is bearish: overhead resistance from the moving averages is holding firm, and the token has failed to establish any support above $0.07. Until those lines are broken, any rally will face immediate selling pressure.
The question now is whether the smart money bet can eventually overcome the weight of the moving averages. If the larger traders are right, HBAR could see a sharp reversal once resistance is cleared. If they're wrong, the token may continue to drift lower, with the next major support still undefined.
