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Hyperliquid Leads August Rally, but Whale and ETF Signals Stay Mixed

Hyperliquid Leads August Rally, but Whale and ETF Signals Stay Mixed

Hyperliquid's HYPE token is having the best August among the top 10 crypto assets, up 13.99% for the month. That beats Solana's 4.26% and Bitcoin's 2.07% by a wide margin — roughly 3.3x and 6.8x, respectively. But the rebound hasn't taken HYPE back to its record high; it's still about 22% below the peak it set before the pullback.

August's unlikely leader

The gain is notable because HYPE fell 21.94% from its all-time high before turning around. The current rally closes some of that gap, but not all. XRP is the only major asset in the red this month, down 5.98%, which makes HYPE's green stand out even more.

Still, the move isn't as clean as the headline number suggests. While spot flows show $5.7 million in HYPE leaving exchanges over the past seven days, that's a short-term snapshot. Over 30 days, there's been heavy accumulation on centralized exchanges and over-the-counter desks — a sign that larger players are positioning for something, not necessarily that retail is piling in.

ETF inflows flip, then stall

HYPE ETFs saw three consecutive weeks of outflows through July 31. That reversed with positive inflows in the first two weeks of August, but since August 10 there have been no new inflows at all. The pattern suggests a brief spurt of institutional interest that didn't sustain.

Renewed ETF creations haven't materialized, and whale positioning hasn't flipped to net long. That combination points to institutional demand that remains tentative rather than committed.

Whale wallets send mixed signals

Large-holder activity is all over the place. Maven11 Capital withdrew 202,705 HYPE from OKX. Monetalis-linked wallets bought 171,543 HYPE — worth about $9.56 million — after selling UNI. A fresh wallet accumulated 57,000 HYPE from Coinbase. Meanwhile, one whale sold 923,743 HYPE worth $53.02 million last week.

On the supply side, HyperLabs unlocked 433,025 HYPE ($23.46 million) and has been depositing tokens into exchanges like Flowdesk and OKX, likely to sell. That overhang is one reason the rally hasn't been more forceful.

Shorts still in control

Nansen data shows whales, smart traders, and public figures are net short on HYPE. The funding rate sits at 0.00125% per hour — roughly 10.95% annualized — with longs paying shorts. That's not an extreme level, but it means the crowd betting against HYPE is still being paid to hold that position.

So you have a token that's outperforming its peers this month, but the big money is still leaning the other way. The next test is whether ETF inflows resume and whether those short positions start to cover. Right now, neither has happened.