Kimi AI, the large language model from Moonshot AI, has published a Bitcoin price forecast for the end of 2026 that spans a wide range — $120,000 to $180,000 in its bull case, and $45,000 to $65,000 if things go wrong. With Bitcoin currently trading at $66,690 after a 9.35% weekly slide, the market is already brushing the upper boundary of that bear scenario.
The bull case
Kimi's optimistic scenario rests on four converging forces. First, the April 2024 halving cut daily new supply to roughly 900 BTC. Meanwhile, institutional demand from Bitcoin ETFs is absorbing more than 5,000 BTC each week. Major wirehouses are reportedly allocating 2-5% of portfolios to these ETFs. A Federal Reserve easing cycle, which weakens the dollar, rounds out the bullish case.
The bear case
The downside scenario is just as detailed: a global recession could force heavy liquidations. The SEC might clamp down on self-custody or push through punitive crypto taxes. Miner capitulation — where miners sell their coins to cover costs — could add selling pressure. And a black-swan event, of course, could crater prices. If any of those materialize, Kimi sees Bitcoin ending the year between $45,000 and $65,000.
Where price sits now
Bitcoin is at $66,690, down more than 9% over the past week. The key support zone sits at $62,000-$65,000, and a break below that could test the bear case floor. On the upside, Bitcoin needs to reclaim $70,000 and then $75,000 to build momentum. The immediate breakout zone is $68,000 to $73,000. The timing isn't great — the price is stuck near the top of the bear range, and the weekly loss is the steepest in months.
Another AI's take
Kimi wasn't the only AI model making crypto predictions this week. Meta AI flagged LiquidChain as a potential 1000x opportunity, describing it as a unified execution environment for cross-chain development. The claim is characteristically bold, but it underscores how AI models are increasingly being used to generate investment theses — even if the target returns sound like lottery tickets.
