Solana is defending a critical support zone near $79 on the weekly chart, a level analyst Scient identifies as the multi-year low from 2024. The cryptocurrency has tried and failed to reclaim the $210 mark three times since 2021, with the latest rejection in September 2025 sending prices on a long retracement back to the $80 area. Accumulation has been building at this level for months, but the stakes are high — a break below could mean a slide into the mid-$20s.
Three strikes at $210
Scient points to Solana's three failed attempts to break above $210 since 2021. The first rejection came not long after the impulsive high. The second triggered a year-long consolidation that eventually broke down. The third, in September 2025, ended the consolidation and pushed the token back to the 2024 low. Each rejection has drawn a lower high on the weekly chart, making the current support zone more consequential.
What a break below $79 would mean
The $79–$80 zone is what Scient calls the structural integrity line for Solana. If it breaks, the next major support is around the mid-$20s — a 70% drop from current levels. That's not a prediction, just a technical reality based on the lack of any meaningful volume between $80 and $25. The analyst notes that if Solana can establish a bottom here, it would mimic the kind of support Ethereum found during its last bear market cycle.
Bullish signal on the daily chart
There is some near-term good news. On the daily timeframe, Solana has broken out of its long-standing macro downtrend. That breakout was followed by a confirmed retest, which is a classic bullish pattern. Volume analysis shows that heavy selling from previous highs has been absorbed; current trading activity is concentrated around these lower levels.
Clean runway to $120
From the current price, there's very little resistance up to $120. Scient describes it as a clean runway — no major supply zones or order blocks in the way. That means if the $80 support holds and buying picks up, the move higher could be relatively quick. But the weekly support is the linchpin. If it fails, that open road turns into a steep drop.
The next few weeks will show whether the accumulation at $80 is enough to reverse the bearish macro trend or if Solana is headed for a deeper retrace. The $79 level is the line in the sand.
