Stellar's price momentum may look neutral on the surface, but beneath the calm, the market structure is turning bearish. Whales are positioning for more downside, and analysts see a 70% probability that the token will test the $0.12 support level within the next 30 days.
Dead cat bounce expected before the drop
Before that test, traders anticipate a short-lived rally to the $0.16 resistance level. But don't mistake it for a recovery. The move is being described as a classic dead cat bounce — a brief pop that fails, followed by a sharper decline. The predicted path: a rise to $0.16 that quickly stalls, then a descent back toward $0.12 over the coming weeks.
Whale activity signals bearish sentiment
Large holders, often called whales, are already positioning for further downside. Their moves suggest they expect the current weakness to continue. While retail traders might see the neutral price action as a pause, the accumulation of short positions and hedging activity points to a different story.
What the $0.12 level means
The $0.12 mark is a key psychological and technical support zone. A break below that could open the door to even lower levels, but for now, the 70% probability implies it's more likely than not that Stellar will touch that floor. If the dead cat bounce plays out as predicted, the token could revisit $0.16 first — giving some holders a chance to exit before the slide resumes.
The next 30 days will tell whether this forecast holds. Whales are betting it will.
