TON is trading at $1.62, below every short-term moving average, with momentum flatlining and volume running very low. The lack of buying pressure suggests a move to the lower Bollinger band near $1.46 could happen within the next one to two weeks.
Why the price is stuck
The token hasn't been able to hold above any of its key short-term moving averages — the 10, 20, or 50-day lines. When an asset trades below all of them, it usually signals that sellers are in control. Without a catalyst to reverse that, the path of least resistance stays lower.
Trading volume is also thin. Low volume means orders can push price around more easily, but in this case it's not lifting the token. It's more like the market is waiting for something to break one way or another.
What the Bollinger bands show
The lower Bollinger band sits at $1.46, and analysts who track technical patterns often watch for a sweep of that level when momentum dies. Given the current flatline, a re-test of that area looks probable. That's a drop of roughly 10% from here.
The bands themselves are a volatility measure. When they're wide, the market expects big swings. Right now, they're not particularly wide, but the price is hugging the lower part of the range. That's another sign of weakness.
What happens next
The seven-to-fourteen-day window gives a rough timeline. If TON doesn't find support before then, a touch of $1.46 could act as a floor — or it could break lower if sellers keep piling on. There's no clear event on the calendar that would change the setup, so the technicals are doing all the talking for now.
