XRP's 3-day chart just printed the tightest Bollinger Band squeeze in more than a year, a setup that typically precedes a sharp price move. The token has been stuck between $1.30 and $1.50 for months, with only brief deviations. Now multiple analysts are watching for a breakout — and they don't agree on direction.
The squeeze
Bollinger Bands measure volatility using a moving average and standard deviation bands. When they contract this much, it usually means a big expansion is coming — but the chart alone doesn't say which way. XRP has been range-bound since early 2026, and the squeeze on the 3-day timeframe is the narrowest since early 2025.
Analyst Ali Martinez laid out two clear targets: a clean 3-day candlestick close above $1.50 would target $1.80, while a close below $1.29 could send XRP toward $1.00. He also noted that the SuperTrend indicator flashed a buy signal for XRP — the first since January.
Where analysts see XRP heading
Not everyone is reading the same tea leaves. Analyst CW said upward pressure on XRP is increasing again, after a recent rejection saw only weak downward pressure. That suggests buyers are stepping back in.
Analysts MikybullCrypto and CRYPTOWZRD also expect a breakout attempt soon. MikybullCrypto is anticipating what he called a 'boom.' CRYPTOWZRD, though, warned there's still a risk of a leg down. So the camp is split — not unusual when a squeeze tightens this much.
Whale holdings near 70%
A recent report showed that Ripple whales have increased their holdings and now control almost 70% of XRP's total supply. That concentration means large holders can move the market more easily — both on the way up and the way down. It also adds a layer of uncertainty for retail traders watching the squeeze.
The next few days will tell the story. A decisive close above $1.50 or below $1.29 on the 3-day chart will give traders a clear signal. Until then, XRP is coiled and waiting.
