XRP just notched its lowest monthly relative strength index on record. The RSI reading hit 41.64, dipping below the previous floor of 43.75 set in March 2020 — when XRP bottomed at $0.11. The token now trades around $1.11, roughly 61% off its October 2025 high of $2.84.
A record low reading
Crypto commentator Austin first flagged the drop. The initial reading was 42.64 before sliding further to 41.62. While the RSI sits above the traditional oversold threshold of 30, for XRP this is uncharted territory. The metric measures momentum and whether an asset is overbought or oversold on a monthly scale; a reading this low suggests bearish pressure is as intense as it's ever been for the token.
What the 2020 precedent shows
Back in March 2020, XRP's RSI hit that 43.75 floor as price bottomed at $0.11. From there, the token ground out higher lows and eventually rallied to $1.96 by April 2021. That run continued into November 2024, when XRP peaked at $3.40.
History doesn't have to repeat. If XRP manages to recover above $1.30 before June ends, the monthly RSI could close well above the current level. That would blunt the signal's force. But if price stays near $1.10 — where it was in early February — the low reading becomes a more durable marker of exhaustion.
Broader market drag
XRP isn't suffering in a vacuum. The total crypto market cap shed $330 billion in a week. Bitcoin dropped toward $63,000 after Strategy sold 32 BTC from its holdings of over 800,000 BTC. XRP's own market cap fell from $82.5 billion to $69 billion — a roughly 15% haircut in seven days.
The timing isn't great. The token is revisiting price levels last seen five months ago, and the macro picture hasn't offered much relief.
What to watch by June 30
The key test is whether XRP can push back above $1.30 before the month closes. A strong recovery would pull the RSI off the floor and call the signal into question. A failure to bounce, and this historic RSI reading becomes something traders will talk about for a while — one way or the other.
