Drake has placed a $2 million wager on Argentina to beat Spain in the 2026 World Cup final. The bet, which carries a 40.8% implied probability, was disclosed by the rapper's camp. It's one of the largest single-game bets on the tournament so far.
The Bet Details
The money is on Argentina to win the final outright. No other bet types—like exact score or goal totals—were mentioned. The 40.8% probability means the odds are roughly +145, meaning a $100 bet would return $245 if Argentina wins. Drake stands to collect nearly $4.9 million if his pick is correct.
The 2026 World Cup final is scheduled for July 19 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The tournament itself will be co-hosted by the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Argentina enters as the defending champion after winning the 2022 edition in Qatar. Spain, the 2010 champion, has a young, talented squad.
What's at Stake
For Drake, this is a high-profile gamble. The rapper has a history of placing large sports bets, often sharing them on social media. A $2 million bet on a single match is rare even for celebrity gamblers. If Argentina loses, Drake loses the entire stake. If they win, he nets a $2.9 million profit before taxes.
The bet also puts a spotlight on the 2026 final. Bookmakers will likely adjust lines as more money comes in. Argentina's odds may shorten if other big bettors follow Drake's lead.
The Odds
A 40.8% implied probability suggests the bookmaker views Argentina as a slight underdog. Spain is likely favored at around 45-50% implied probability, with the remainder accounting for a draw after regulation? But World Cup finals cannot end in a draw—extra time and penalties decide the winner. So the 40.8% is the chance Argentina wins in regulation, extra time, or penalties. That's a relatively strong chance for a single team in a final.
Drake's bet is a straight win bet, not a futures wager. He's betting on the specific matchup, not Argentina to win the whole tournament. That's a bold move given the uncertainty of a one-off game.
The 2026 World Cup is still two years away. A lot can change—injuries, form, coaching changes. But Drake is locking in his money now. Whether this is a savvy investment or a publicity stunt remains to be seen. The final whistle will tell.
