A district court injunction has blocked a planned Likud convention vote over disputed primary rules, forcing party officials to cancel the session. The decision came just hours before the vote was set to begin, throwing an internal party process into limbo.
Court Intervention
The injunction effectively freezes the party's internal election machinery. The convention was meant to settle a disagreement over primary rules — a dispute that has exposed deep divisions within Likud. Party officials confirmed the cancellation without offering a new date. The court's ruling is temporary, but the underlying conflict remains unresolved.
Market Response
On the prediction platform Polymarket, the odds of Gadi Eizenkot rose sharply after the injunction was announced, hitting 49%. Polymarket allows users to bet on real-world events, and the shift suggests traders see the court's move as improving Eizenkot's prospects. The market had previously given Eizenkot lower odds, but the exact figure is unknown. The platform does not disclose why users changed their bets, but the timing of the spike is directly tied to the legal setback for the party's leadership.
Eizenkot, a former chief of staff, is seen as a potential contender in Israeli politics. The court's decision and the market's reaction underscore the high stakes of the internal party struggle. With no new date set for the convention, the question of who will lead Likud through its next primary remains open.
