Polymarket, the prediction market platform, now gives former Israeli general Gadi Eizenkot a 46% chance of becoming the country's next prime minister. The odds reflect growing speculation about a potential leadership change in Israel.
Meanwhile, in Washington, President Trump's nominee for director of national intelligence, Jay Clayton, faced questions about the 2020 election during his Senate confirmation hearing. Clayton declined to say Trump lost, instead noting that Biden was 'certified' and that he is 'not an election denier.'
Eizenkot's Rising Odds
The 46% figure makes Eizenkot the current frontrunner according to the platform. Eizenkot, a former chief of staff of the Israel Defense Forces, has been a prominent figure in Israeli politics. The odds suggest a significant shift in public perception, though prediction markets are not always accurate. Polymarket users have been betting on the outcome of the Israeli prime minister race, with Eizenkot's probability climbing in recent weeks.
Clayton's Careful Answer
During the hearing, Clayton was pressed on whether he believes Trump lost the 2020 election. He avoided a direct answer, saying instead that Biden was 'certified' as the winner. He also stated, 'I am not an election denier.' The exchange highlighted the delicate position of Trump appointees who must balance loyalty to the former president with the factual record. Clayton's nomination now awaits a committee vote before heading to the full Senate.
