Iran issued a warning that any state providing assistance to the United States in attacks against it will be held accountable, as a prediction market shows just a 2.6% probability of a final nuclear deal between the two countries by August 13, 2026.
A warning to US allies
The statement from Iran did not specify which states or what kind of attacks it referred to. It comes as the US and Iran remain at odds over the nuclear program, with talks stalled for months. The warning appears aimed at regional countries that host US military bases or cooperate with Washington on security matters.
Iran has previously threatened to retaliate against any nation that allows its territory to be used for strikes on Iran. The latest warning reinforces that position without offering new details on potential consequences.
Slim odds for a nuclear deal
Prediction markets, where users bet on future events, currently give a 2.6% chance that the US and Iran will reach a final nuclear agreement by August 13, 2026. The low probability suggests traders see little chance of a breakthrough in the near term.
The figure reflects the deep mistrust between the two sides and the lack of progress in negotiations. The US has maintained sanctions on Iran, while Iran has expanded its nuclear activities beyond the limits set by the 2015 deal, which the US abandoned in 2018.
The August 2026 deadline for a potential deal remains distant, but the warning from Iran adds another layer of uncertainty to the already slim prospects for a diplomatic resolution.
