A Russian artillery strike in the southern Ukrainian city of Kherson killed one person and wounded two others, local authorities reported. The attack is the latest in an ongoing campaign of shelling that has pounded the city since its recapture by Ukrainian forces more than a year ago.
Deadly shelling in Kherson
The strike hit on a weekday afternoon, according to officials. One person died at the scene. Two others suffered injuries and were taken to a nearby hospital. Their conditions weren't immediately clear. The victim's identity hasn't been released pending notification of relatives. Kherson, a regional capital on the Dnipro River, has faced near-daily Russian artillery and drone attacks since Ukrainian troops drove out the occupying force in November 2022. The city's civilian infrastructure remains heavily damaged, and residents live under constant threat of incoming fire.
A market-based forecast
Separately, a prediction market tracking the war shows a 15% probability that Russian forces will enter the city of Sloviansk by December 31, 2026. Prediction markets let participants bet real money on the outcome of future events, producing a real-time probability. The current figure suggests traders see a low but non-zero chance of a Russian advance on the strategically located city in the coming years. Sloviansk has been under Ukrainian control throughout the full-scale invasion, though Russian forces have periodically pushed toward it. The market's probability has fluctuated with battlefield developments, though no single event has dramatically shifted the odds in recent weeks.
The prediction market will resolve on the final day of 2026, offering a binary answer on whether Russian troops entered Sloviansk by that deadline.
