Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is scheduled to meet President Donald Trump at the White House on Tuesday. The two leaders are expected to discuss Iran and broader security issues, according to the announcement.
What's on the agenda
The meeting comes at a time when tensions with Tehran remain high. Iran's nuclear program and its support for proxy groups across the Middle East are likely to dominate the conversation. Both leaders have taken hard lines against the Islamic Republic in the past, and this sit-down could signal a renewed push for coordinated policy.
Security cooperation between the U.S. and Israel is also expected to be a key topic. The two countries have a long history of intelligence sharing and joint military exercises, and the current administration has continued that partnership.
A prediction market weighs in
While the meeting is officially on the calendar, a prediction market run by the platform Polymarket gives it a 91.5% probability of actually occurring by July 31, 2026. That's a high confidence level, but not a certainty. The market allows traders to bet on whether the meeting will take place within that window, and the current odds suggest most participants believe it will happen.
Prediction markets have become a popular way to gauge expectations for political events, though they are not always accurate. The 8.5% chance of the meeting not happening by that date leaves some room for uncertainty — a canceled trip, a scheduling conflict, or a change in circumstances could still alter the plan.
What comes next
Tuesday's meeting is the immediate milestone. After that, both sides will likely issue statements or hold press conferences. The outcome could influence U.S. policy toward Iran and shape Israel's security posture in the region.
For now, the White House has confirmed the meeting, and preparations are underway. Whether the talks produce a new agreement or simply reaffirm existing positions remains to be seen — but the prediction market suggests the meeting itself is all but certain.
