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RFK Jr. Leads Polymarket Odds for 2028 GOP Nod; Ontario Premier Calls Out Trump on Wildfire Insults

RFK Jr. Leads Polymarket Odds for 2028 GOP Nod; Ontario Premier Calls Out Trump on Wildfire Insults

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is the early betting favorite to win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, according to Polymarket odds that hit 49% on Wednesday. The prediction market numbers put Kennedy ahead of any other potential GOP contender, though the primary is still four years away and the field remains undefined.

Polymarket puts Kennedy at 49%

Polymarket, a decentralized prediction platform, shows Kennedy's probability of securing the Republican nomination at 49%. That's a significant lead over any other named candidate, though no other candidate has odds above single digits at this point. Kennedy, who ran as an independent in 2024 and later suspended his campaign, has not formally announced a 2028 run. But the betting market signals that traders see him as a serious contender for the GOP nod.

The 49% figure is notable but far from a lock. Prediction markets can shift quickly as new candidates enter the race or political conditions change. For now, Kennedy's name recognition and his ability to draw cross-party support appear to be driving the high odds.

Ontario's premier tells Trump to stop the insults

Across the border, Ontario Premier Doug Ford publicly urged Donald Trump to cut out the wildfire-related insults and instead offer help to allies. Ford's statement came after Trump made comments about wildfires in Canada, though the exact remarks were not detailed in the available facts. The premier didn't mince words: he called on Trump to stop the rhetoric and focus on cooperation.

“We need support, not insults,” Ford said, according to the facts provided. The premier's plea reflects ongoing tensions between Canadian leaders and the former president over environmental disasters and cross-border relations. Wildfires have ravaged parts of Canada in recent years, and Ford wants a more constructive response from the U.S.

Trump has not publicly responded to Ford's request. The exchange highlights the delicate balance allies face when dealing with a potential future president who often uses aggressive language toward other nations.