Ukraine has targeted logistics hubs belonging to Russian e-commerce company Wildberries and an oil depot inside Russia, according to reports. The strikes mark an expansion of Ukraine's long-range campaign against Russian infrastructure. Separately, a prediction market shows an 8.5% probability that Ukraine will recapture Crimea by December 31, 2026.
Wildberries hubs hit
Wildberries, a major Russian online retailer, saw its logistics centers struck in the operation. The facilities are used for warehousing and distribution across the country. The extent of damage is not yet clear, but the targeting of civilian logistics infrastructure signals a new phase in Ukraine's strategy to disrupt Russia's domestic supply chains and economy.
Oil depot ablaze
In a separate strike, Ukrainian forces hit an oil depot inside Russian territory. The depot, used for storing fuel, caught fire. Such attacks aim to reduce fuel supplies available to the Russian military and pressure the country's energy sector. Russia has previously accused Ukraine of targeting civilian infrastructure, while Ukraine maintains it strikes only military-related targets.
Crimea recapture odds
A prediction market currently estimates an 8.5% probability that Ukraine will retake the Crimean peninsula by the end of 2026. The figure reflects low but not negligible confidence among bettors. Crimea, annexed by Russia in 2014, remains a key strategic and symbolic objective for Ukraine. The strikes on Russian soil may be part of broader efforts to weaken Russia's ability to hold the peninsula.
The attacks come as the war enters its third year, with both sides seeking advantages ahead of potential negotiations. The next steps in Ukraine's campaign against Russian infrastructure remain unclear, but the targeting of Wildberries and oil depots signals a willingness to hit deeper into Russian territory.
