A US airstrike killed two people at the Shalamcheh border crossing, Iran state media reported. Separately, a prediction market shows a 10.5% probability that Iran's regime will fall by the end of 2026.
Reported strike at Shalamcheh
Iran state media said the US carried out an airstrike at the Shalamcheh border crossing, resulting in two deaths. No further details about the victims or the timing of the strike were provided.
Prediction market odds on regime change
A prediction market indicates a 10.5% chance of the Iranian regime collapsing before 2027. The market aggregates bets from traders on political outcomes. The figure suggests that while the possibility is considered low, it is not negligible.
