The White House is planning to release evaluations detailing vulnerabilities in U.S. election systems directly to China and Russia, according to officials familiar with the matter. The move comes as President Trump is expected to formally accuse China of election interference by July 16, with prediction markets placing the odds of that accusation at 93.5%.
What the White House is releasing
The reports will cover weaknesses in the country's election infrastructure—systems used for voter registration, voting machines, and tallying results. Sharing such sensitive assessments with Beijing and Moscow marks a significant shift in how the government handles election security information, which has typically been kept classified or shared only with allies.
It's not clear when the evaluations will be handed over or what form they'll take. The White House has not issued a public statement on the plan.
Trump's expected accusation
President Trump is expected to accuse China of interfering in the 2024 election by July 16, according to prediction market data. The probability of that accusation stands at 93.5% on major betting platforms. The accusation would likely target Beijing's alleged efforts to sway voters or disrupt the electoral process—though no specific evidence has been released publicly.
Trump has repeatedly warned about foreign interference, particularly from China, and has pushed for stricter election security measures. The prediction market odds suggest a near-certainty that he will make the accusation within the next two weeks.
Why the reports matter
Releasing vulnerability assessments to two countries that the U.S. has accused of election meddling in the past raises questions about the administration's strategy. China and Russia have both denied previous allegations of interference. The reports could be seen as a transparency measure—or a lever to pressure those nations into cooperating on election security.
Congressional committees have not been briefed on the plan, according to aides. Some lawmakers have already raised concerns about giving potential adversaries a roadmap to U.S. election systems.
The White House has not commented on whether the reports will include recommendations for addressing the vulnerabilities or how they will be verified. The next step will be the release of the evaluations themselves, followed by Trump's expected accusation on July 16.
