Geopolitical shocks historically trigger a flight‑to‑safety, boosting demand for cash‑equivalent stores of value such as Bitcoin, while also prompting regulators to tighten oversight on suspicious trading. The pattern mirrors the 2022‑23 Russia‑Ukraine escalation where crypto volumes spiked amid heightened scrutiny.

BBC reported significant spikes in insider trading activity shortly before announcements by the US president regarding the Iran conflict.