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This event fits into a pattern of geopolitical brinkmanship where short-term war threats are used as negotiation tools, but the underlying tensions remain. The involvement of Gulf states signals their desire to avoid regional disruption, which could temporarily stabilize oil markets and reduce inflation fears, but the fragile nature of the truce means volatility may return quickly.

US President Trump announced he is holding off a planned attack on Iran after requests from UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar.