Bitcoin

A below-average hurricane season supports stable energy prices and lower insurance costs, which could marginally improve corporate earnings and risk appetite. However, crypto markets are currently pricing in fear (F&G 29) and are more sensitive to liquidity conditions and regulatory headlines than to seasonal weather patterns.

US forecasters predict a below-average hurricane season for 2026 due to strengthening El Niño, but caution that a single hurricane can still cause devastation.