Indonesia Blocks Polymarket After Users Bet on Prabowo’s Early Exit

This event is part of a broader trend of emerging market currencies under pressure (e.g., Turkish lira, Argentine peso) where governments resort to capital controls. For crypto, each instance reinforces Bitcoin's narrative as a non-sovereign asset, but the cumulative effect is gradual. Palm oil rising suggests commodity exports are being weaponized, which could fuel inflation and further weaken the rupiah, accelerating crypto adoption as a hedge.

Indonesian markets (composite index)

Palm oil futures

Indonesian markets fell amid speculation that the government will centralize commodity exports to control capital flows and support the currency, while palm oil futures rose.