Gold Perceived as Least Overvalued in 2.5 Years as Stagflation Fears Dominate

Oil Hits Three-Month Low After US-Iran Deal, Reshaping Crypto Risk Landscape

Bitcoin

This event highlights the market's selective attention: geopolitical risks that would normally trigger safe-haven flows into crypto are being overridden by monetary policy fears. The high BTC dominance (55.2%) confirms traders are fleeing altcoins for perceived safety, but the 10-point Fear & Greed index signals we're at a capitulation point where even negative political news fails to move prices.

President Trump denies having promised 'no new wars' during the 2024 US election campaign.

Trump's 'No New Wars' Denial Ignored by Crypto as Market Eyes Inflation Hedge

Trump's denial of 'no new wars' promise signals potential for increased military spending — a bullish catalyst for Bitcoin as inflation hedge.

This event reveals a hidden correlation between climate-driven commodity shocks and crypto's role as a liquidity-driven hedge. With China accounting for 30% of global rice consumption, crop risks could accelerate yuan devaluation pressures, weakening the USD index (DXY) - a key driver for Bitcoin's dollar-denominated price. The 'bullish' classification is actually a contrarian signal: the market is pricing in inflation while ignoring that China's potential food import surge may strengthen USD through trade imbalances.

Flood warnings have been issued for southern China due to forecasted heavy rains, raising risks for rice crops.

Flood Warnings in Southern China Give Crypto a Short-Lived Bounce

Flood-Induced Grain Insecurity May Drive China's State-Backed Digital Yuan Testing in Agricultural Supply Chains, Accelerating CBDC Adoption

Bitcoin CPI Dips 0.9% in April, But Annual Gain Supports Inflation Hedge Pitch

Bitcoin ETFs and Gold See Outflows as Debasement Trade Falters

The Iran war attribution adds a geopolitical risk premium to energy markets, which historically correlates with risk-off moves across global asset classes. Combined with extreme fear (F&G 25) and high BTC dominance, this event could accelerate capital rotation out of altcoins into perceived safe-havens like BTC or even out of crypto entirely into cash or commodities.

Ofgem announces that the energy price cap will increase in July, raising household bills by £221 per year due to Iran war impact.

Ofgem’s £221 Energy Price Cap Hike – What It Means for UK Crypto Traders and Miners

Iran War Energy Shock Mirrors 1973 Oil Crisis – Bitcoin Poised to Outperform Gold as Inflation Hedge

Iran Conflict Deepens Europe's Economic Crisis, Reshapes Crypto and Energy Markets

The combination of the Strait of Hormuz blockade and existing Russian oil sanctions is creating a severe supply crunch. The UK's move may be a precursor to broader European actions, indicating that Western unity on sanctions is fraying under economic pressure. This could reshape global oil trade flows and reduce the geopolitical risk premium in energy markets.

Crude Oil

UK loosens Russian oil sanctions due to rising fuel prices and supply concerns from the effective blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.