Bitcoin

This event is a critical test of the ceasefire framework; if retaliations spiral, it could draw in Iran and disrupt Strait of Hormuz shipping, spiking oil prices and inflation expectations. For crypto, higher oil prices historically correlate with tighter monetary policy, which pressures risk assets, but Bitcoin's 'digital gold' narrative may attract safe-haven flows if the crisis deepens.

Israeli strikes on southern Lebanon killed thirteen people, including four women and a child, according to the Lebanese health ministry, amid ongoing fighting between Israel and Hezbollah despite a ceasefire.