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Bitcoin

This event occurs amid extreme fear in crypto markets (Fear & Greed at 8), with BTC already down 13.5% over 7 days. A geopolitical shock could accelerate selling into the current bearish sentiment, but it also creates a contrarian buying opportunity if the conflict remains contained. Historically, major geopolitical shocks have caused short-term dips in Bitcoin followed by recoveries as investors seek uncorrelated stores of value.

Israel and Iran exchanged missile strikes on Monday despite President Trump’s calls for a halt to allow peace talks.