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Geopolitical tension around Iran has historically driven investors toward safe‑haven assets (gold, USD) and away from high‑volatility crypto. At the same time, the U.S. showing a decisive military posture can be interpreted as a signal that a diplomatic resolution may be on the horizon, which would later reduce the risk premium and revive risk‑on sentiment. The current Fear & Greed index (33 – Fear) and slightly bearish sentiment suggest the market is already primed for a reaction.

U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth announced that Operation Epic Fury has achieved a decisive result, is entering a new phase, and that the U.S. naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz will be reinforced by a second aircraft carrier.