Meta AI is calling for Bitcoin to hit $78,000 to $85,000 by late September, with a potential run past $90,000 if the CLARITY Act becomes law. The prediction lands as Bitcoin trades at $64,806, down 0.82% on the day, and as the Federal Reserve wraps up its July 28-29 meeting.
The CLARITY Act window
The bill is described as imminent. Senate text has been merged, an ethics hurdle cleared, and a White House compromise reached. Backers are pushing for a floor vote before the August 7 recess. If passed, the CLARITY Act would move Bitcoin from SEC oversight to CFTC commodity status — a shift that would open the door for institutional buying in a way current rules don't.
Meta AI's base case assumes the bill gets through. If it doesn't, and the Fed stays hawkish, the model expects a shakeout to $60,000 or even $58,000 support.
ETF flows and holder behavior
Spot ETF demand has been choppy. Late last week saw $465 million in outflows, but the prior week logged $999 million in inflows across seven sessions. A $1.2 billion week earlier this month helped reclaim the $65,000 level.
Long-term holder selling is at its lowest since Q3 2022. On-chain data shows a flush is complete: $5.94 billion in institutional inflows versus $1.97 billion in outflows over the past 12 months. Bitcoin also holds above the 200-week simple moving average at $63,500 — a key technical floor.
The bear case
August is historically Bitcoin's worst month, with a median return of -7.5% and a win rate of just 30%. September isn't much better, with a median -5.3%. If the CLARITY Act misses the recess deadline and the Fed doesn't signal a pivot, Meta AI warns of a drop to the $60K-$58K zone.
Support sits at $63,000 and then $58,000. Resistance is at $66,000, $70,000, and the May failure point around $82,000. Momentum is cautiously positive but not extended — consistent with a grinding market that needs to clear $70,000 to confirm the bullish path.
LiquidChain presale passes $900K
Separately, LiquidChain — a multi-chain infrastructure project aiming to solve fragmentation between Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana — has raised $900,000 in its presale. Tokens are priced at $0.01454.
The next concrete milestone is the August 7 recess deadline for the CLARITY Act. If the bill gets a vote before then, Bitcoin's path to $78K-$85K gets a lot clearer. If not, the market may have to wait — and brace for a historically rough August.
