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Polymarket Bets on Le Pen for 2027 as US Broadcasters Face Sanctions Over Trump Address

Polymarket Bets on Le Pen for 2027 as US Broadcasters Face Sanctions Over Trump Address

Two separate developments unfolded this week. On the prediction market platform Polymarket, bets on the 2027 French presidential election have surpassed $114 million in total volume, with far-right leader Marine Le Pen holding a 33% probability. Separately, several major U.S. broadcasters declined to air President Donald Trump’s prime-time election-security address on their main channels, a decision that drew threats of sanctions and license revocations.

Polymarket Sees $114M in French Election Bets

Polymarket, a prediction market, shows that more than $114 million has been wagered on the 2027 French presidential election. Marine Le Pen, leader of the National Rally, currently leads the field with a 33% chance of winning, according to the platform’s aggregated odds. The election is still more than three years away, but the volume of bets indicates significant interest in the race. No other candidate’s probability was provided in the available data.

Broadcasters Refuse to Air Trump Address

Several of the largest U.S. television networks chose not to broadcast President Donald Trump’s prime-time address on election security on their main platforms. The decision triggered threats of sanctions and license revocations, though the source of the threats was not specified. The networks have not publicly commented on the matter. The address itself was part of the president’s ongoing focus on election integrity, but the refusal to carry it live has raised questions about the relationship between the administration and the media.

Whether the threats will lead to actual sanctions or license actions remains unclear, and no timeline for any response has been given.