A US military attack in the Iranian city of Tabriz killed one person and injured several others, according to reports. The strike comes as prediction markets put the probability of a full-scale US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 30.4%.
What happened in Tabriz
The attack took place in Tabriz, a major city in northwestern Iran. Details remain scarce. The identity of the person killed and the number of injured have not been released. The US military has not commented on the operation, and Iranian officials have not yet issued a formal statement.
Prediction market odds
A prediction market — a platform where users bet on the likelihood of future events — currently shows a 30.4% probability that the US will invade Iran before the end of 2026. The figure reflects the collective assessment of traders, not an official forecast. Such markets have gained attention for tracking geopolitical risks in real time.
What comes next
The attack in Tabriz is likely to escalate already high tensions between Washington and Tehran. The US has not confirmed the operation, and it is unclear whether the strike was part of a broader campaign. The prediction market will continue to update as new information emerges.
