BIP-110 is no longer viable. The proposal split itself into a two-block chain that quickly collapsed, effectively killing it. That leaves CLARITY as the remaining option, and it will finally get a Senate vote in September — though the odds currently point to a "No."
A Fork That Ended in Two Blocks
BIP-110's failure wasn't a slow decline. It forked itself into oblivion, creating what's being described as a "2-block chain." The chain produced only two blocks before dying, making the proposal structurally unsound and impossible to continue. Whatever support it once had is now moot; the measure is dead.
The speed of the collapse is notable. A fork that stops after two blocks isn't a soft landing — it's a hard stop. There's no path forward for BIP-110, and any work tied to it is effectively shelved.
CLARITY Finally Reaches the Senate
With BIP-110 gone, all eyes turn to CLARITY. The measure has been waiting for a vote for some time, and September is when it finally gets one. The Senate will take it up then, after what has clearly been a lengthy process.
This isn't a procedural formality. The vote is real, and it carries the weight of deciding whether CLARITY moves forward or joins BIP-110 on the scrap heap.
Odds Favor Rejection
But the outlook isn't bright. The odds, as they stand now, indicate the Senate vote will be a "No." That means CLARITY is likely to fail when it reaches the floor.
If that happens, both major proposals would be dead. BIP-110 already collapsed on its own; CLARITY would be rejected by a vote. The result would be the same: no viable path for either measure.
The September vote is the last scheduled step. Until then, the numbers suggest the outcome is already decided, but the vote itself hasn't happened. The Senate is set to make it official in September.
