Robert F. Kennedy Jr. holds a 49% chance of winning the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, according to Polymarket, a decentralized prediction market platform. The market has attracted $675 million in total trading volume, reflecting intense speculation about the GOP's future.
Trump's Pennsylvania appearance
Former President Donald Trump appeared at a Pennsylvania defense and innovation summit, but the event did not include any fresh commitments or new policy proposals. The appearance came as the 2028 race begins to take shape, with Kennedy currently leading the betting odds.
The $675 million market
The Polymarket contract for the 2028 GOP nomination has seen $675 million in wagers, making it one of the platform's most active political markets. Traders are betting on a field that includes Trump, Kennedy, and other potential candidates, though no official announcements have been made.
Polymarket's odds are based on user trading and can shift rapidly. Kennedy's 49% share puts him ahead of Trump, who has not yet declared his intentions for 2028. The former president's appearance in Pennsylvania did not change the market's assessment.
No further campaign events have been publicly scheduled by either candidate following Trump's summit stop.
