Russia launched over 1,450 drones and 1,640 bombs at Ukraine in a single week, data shows. The barrage comes as a prediction market puts the odds of Ukraine recapturing Crimea by the end of 2026 at just 9.5%.
A Week of Relentless Bombardment
The 1,450 drones and 1,640 bombs were fired over seven days. The numbers highlight the scale of Russia's aerial campaign. Drones have become a key weapon in the war, used for both surveillance and strikes. Bombs, including glide bombs, have been used to target infrastructure and front-line positions.
Ukraine has repeatedly called for more air defense systems to counter the attacks. The weekly tally is one of the highest since the war began.
Crimea Recapture Odds
A prediction market, where users bet on future events, currently gives Ukraine a 9.5% probability of retaking the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026. The figure reflects market sentiment on the war's long-term outlook. Crimea was annexed by Russia in 2014 and has been a key strategic goal for Ukraine.
The 9.5% probability is low, indicating that traders see a recapture as unlikely within that timeframe. The market updates in real time as new information emerges.
The next major date for the prediction market is December 31, 2026. Until then, the weekly bombardment figures will remain a key measure of the conflict's intensity.
