Bitcoin Dips Below $64K as Fed's Hawkish Dot Plot Spurs Rotation to Gold

Gold Prices Steady as US-Iran Interim Peace Deal Nears Signing

China Bonds Gain Safe-Haven Status as Iran War Rattles Markets

Bitcoin Drops to $62,900 as Oil Jumps on Iran-Israel Conflict

Bitcoin Plunges 35% as US-Iran Tensions Rattle Markets

U.S. Money Market Funds Hit Record $8.2 Trillion on $66 Billion Surge

Bitcoin

This report signals that prolonged geopolitical conflict is structurally increasing the US fiscal burden, which historically leads to either higher real rates (bearish for crypto) or eventual monetary accommodation (bullish for hard assets). The market is currently pricing the former, as seen in the 7-day BTC decline of -3.61% and low volume. However, if the conflict persists, the latter scenario becomes more likely as the Fed may be forced to cap yields, weakening the dollar.

Report indicates that the Iran war could add billions of dollars in interest payments to US debt, with government borrowing costs reaching their highest levels since 2007 after three months of conflict.

US Borrowing Costs Hit 2007 Highs as Iran War Stretches Into Third Month

Rising US debt costs from Iran war will accelerate Bitcoin adoption as a hedge against sovereign credit risk, not hurt it.

The Middle East conflict has been a persistent drag on risk assets, and this strike threatens to widen the war, potentially disrupting energy markets and global supply chains. Crypto, while often touted as a safe haven, has historically sold off on such headlines in the short term due to risk-off liquidation, especially with BTC dominance high (altcoins get hit harder).

Israel conducted a targeted strike on the Lebanese capital Beirut, which had largely been spared despite ceasefire violations.

Israel's Beirut Strike Sends Bitcoin Reeling as Safe Haven Narrative Fails

Israel's Beirut strike exposes Bitcoin's broken safe haven narrative as gold surges but BTC stagnates

Bitcoin-Gold Ratio Breaks Three-Month Uptrend as Precious Metals ETFs Lure Inflows

The filing is largely symbolic given the time elapsed and Raúl Castro's age; it does not alter current US-Cuba policy or trade flows. In a market already gripped by fear (F&G 29) and low volume, such legal actions are noise. The real driver remains macro uncertainty (rate hikes, recession fears) and Bitcoin's technical breakdown below $80k.

The United States has filed charges against former Cuban President Raúl Castro and five others for conspiracy to kill US nationals, murder, and destruction of aircraft in connection with the 1996 downing of two civilian planes.

US Charges Raúl Castro for 1996 Plane Killings — Geopolitical Lawfare and the Case for Bitcoin

US Charges Against Raúl Castro Signal Escalating Geopolitical Lawfare – A Bullish Catalyst for Bitcoin as a Non-Sovereign Asset

30-Year Treasury Yields Near 5% Threshold, Risk Assets Under Pressure

Ray Dalio Says Bitcoin Isn't a Safe Haven, Sticks With Gold

Israel Urges US to Bomb Iran's Energy Sites Within 24 Hours; Crypto Markets on Edge

Bitcoin Breaks Above $82,000 as US-Iran Tensions Ease

Ethereum Outpaces S&P 500, Gains Ground as Wartime Store of Value

Circle Mints $9.2B USDC on Solana as US-Iran Tensions Spike

This event rekindles Gulf geopolitical risk that markets had largely priced out after the 2023 détente. If confirmed, it could force a reassessment of regional stability premiums across energy, shipping, and safe-haven currencies. For crypto, the historical pattern is mixed: short-term correlation with oil spikes (negative for risk assets), but prolonged tensions have occasionally driven Bitcoin demand as a non-sovereign store of value.

UAE accused Iran of renewed drone and missile attacks, and a large fire broke out at the key Emirati oil port of Fujairah.