Paragraph: "The idea is simple. Bitcoin's supply halves every 210,000 blocks, an event that tends to spark a bull run. The 500-day rule tries to capture the run-up and the peak. Buy 500 days before the halving, hold through the event, and exit 500 days after. That's a total hold of about 1,000 days — roughly 2.7 years."
Danish: "Ideen er enkel. Bitcoins udbud halveres hver 210.000 blokke, en begivenhed der typisk udløser en bull run. 500-dages-reglen forsøger at fange opturen og toppen. Køb 500 dage før halveringen, hold gennem begivenheden, og sælg 500 dage efter. Det giver en samlet beholdning på omkring 1.000 dage — cirka 2,7 år."
Note: "bull run" is often used in Danish, but we can say "optur" or "bull run". I'll keep "bull run" as it's common. "capture the run-up and the peak" -> "fange opturen og toppen". "exit" -> "sælg" or "forlad". I'll use "sælg".
Next: "It's not a precise science. The exact dates depend on block times, which can vary. But the heuristic gives traders a rough calendar to work with."
Danish: "Det er ikke en præcis videnskab. De nøjagtige datoer afhænger af bloktider, som kan variere. Men heuristikken giver handlere en grov kalender at arbejde med."
"heuristic" -> "heuristik" is fine, but we can also say "tommelfingerregel" but we already used that. I'll use "heuristik" as it's a technical term.
Next:
Historical track record
->
Historisk resultat
or "Historisk track record" but better "Historisk resultat" or "Historiske resultater". I'll use "Historisk resultat" but it's singular. Maybe "Historiske resultater" but the heading is "Historical track record" - I'll use "Historisk resultat" as a track record.
Paragraph: "The rule has worked in past cycles. Traders who bought 500 days before the 2012, 2016, and 2020 halvings and sold 500 days after would have come out ahead, according to the pattern. No one's claiming it's a guarantee — past performance doesn't predict future results — but the consistency has kept the rule in circulation."
Danish: "Reglen har fungeret i tidligere cyklusser. Handlere, der købte 500 dage før halveringerne i 2012, 2016 og 2020 og solgte 500 dage efter, ville have fået et overskud, ifølge mønstret. Ingen påstår, at det er en garanti — tidligere resultater forudsiger ikke fremtidige resultater — men konsistensen har holdt reglen i omløb."
"come out ahead" -> "fået et overskud" or "været i plus". I'll use "været i plus" but "fået et overskud" is fine.
Next: "Critics point out that the 500-day window is arbitrary. Why not 400 or 600? The answer is that it's a heuristic, not a law. It's a way to avoid trying to time the exact top or bottom."
Danish: "Kritikere påpeger, at 500-dages-vinduet er vilkårligt. Hvorfor ikke 400 eller 600? Svaret er, at det er en heuristik, ikke en lov. Det er en måde at undgå at forsøge at time den nøjagtige top eller bund."
"time" as verb -> "time" is used in Danish as well, but we can say "ramme" or "time". I'll use "time" as it's common in trading context.
Next: "With the 2024 halving already in the rearview mirror, the next one is roughly two years out. That puts the buy window somewhere around early 2026 — which is now. Traders who follow the rule would be looking to accumulate, or at least watching the calendar."
Danish: "Med 2024-halveringen allerede i bakspejlet, er den næste cirka to år væk. Det placerer købsvinduet et sted omkring begyndelsen af 2026 — hvilket er nu. Handlere, der følger reglen, vil se på at akkumulere, eller i det mindste holde øje med kalenderen."
"rearview mirror" -> "bakspejlet" is fine. "roughly two years out" -> "cirka to år væk". "buy window" -> "købsvinduet". "accumulate" -> "akkumulere" is fine.
Next: "The timing isn't everything. Market conditions, regulation, and broader economic factors all play a role. But for those who like a simple framework, the 500-day rule offers a starting point."
Danish: "Timingen er ikke alt. Markedsforhold, regulering og bredere økonomiske faktorer spiller alle en rolle. Men for dem, der kan lide en simpel ramme, tilbyder 500-dages-reglen et udgangspunkt."
"framework" -> "ramme" or "ram
