Prediction Markets Now Favor Fed Rate Hike for September

Thai Baht, Indonesian Rupiah Face Pressure as Fed Rate Hike Bets Grow

Dollar Strengthens After PCE Data, Gold Feels the Squeeze

Gold Holds Two-Day Gain as Fed Rate-Hike Bets Ease

Bitcoin tops $64K as Fed hike bets fade, but spot demand lags

This event signals a potential inflection point in the Federal Reserve's tightening cycle. If rate hikes are truly off the table, we could see a sustained period of dollar weakness and lower real yields—conditions that historically have been strongly bullish for both gold and Bitcoin. The fact that gold posted its biggest weekly gain since January underscores that macro investors are already positioning for this shift, and crypto may follow suit as a 'digital gold' narrative gains traction.

Gold

Gold held its gain after the biggest weekly gain since January as soft US jobs data eased rate-hike concerns.

Gold Posts Best Week Since January After Soft Jobs Data — But Crypto May Not Follow

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Bitcoin

Crypto has increasingly traded as a macro-sensitive asset, with Bitcoin and altcoins highly correlated to liquidity conditions and real interest rates. A potential Fed rate hike would tighten financial conditions, reducing speculative appetite and pressuring digital assets. This event highlights the ongoing dependency of crypto on central bank policy, even as the market narrative shifts toward adoption and regulation.

Renaissance Macro's Neil Dutta stated that upcoming inflation data is critical and could keep a September Fed rate hike in play despite market expectations for the Fed to hold.

Renaissance Macro's Dutta: Hot Inflation Could Keep September Fed Hike in Play

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Traders See 45% Chance of September Fed Rate Hike

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Bitmine's Weekly ETH Buys Slow to 7,391 as It Nears 5% Supply Goal

BlackRock's Rieder Sees Fed Rate Hike Unlikely After July Jobs Report

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Prediction Market Odds of Fed Rate Hike Jump to 27% as Traders Brace for Surprise Move

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US Jobless Claims Hit 1969 Low, Raising Rate Hike Odds and Cooling Crypto Rally

Fund Managers Call Gold Most Undervalued Since March 2023, BofA Survey Shows

Polymarket Sees 64% Probability of Fed Rate Hike in 2026

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Oil Breaks $90, Fed Hike Odds Rise, Bitcoin Recovery Stalls

Fed’s Logan Says Energy, Not Wages, Driving Inflation — Rate Hike Fears Rattle Crypto

Bitcoin Slips Below $65K as Soft Inflation Data Fuels Rate Cut Hopes

June Inflation Drop Eases Rate Hike Pressure, Fed Officials Cautious on Next Moves

Gold Slumps to 2026 Low as Strong Jobs Data Fuels Rate-Hike Bets

Bitcoin Slips Below $60K as Strong Jobs Report Fuels Rate-Hike Bets, Tech Stocks Sell Off

Bitcoin Slips Below $73,000 as $733M ETF Outflows Mount

Rising Treasury Yields Pressure Bitcoin as Tokenized Treasuries Hit Record $15.35B

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Fed Rate Hike Odds Jump on Iran Tensions, Inflation Data