Bitcoin Slips to $82K as 'Uptober' Starts With a Thud

S&P 500 Closes Above 7,800 for First Time as 10-Year Yield Hits 5.3%

Nikkei Jumps 2.5% as Weak US Jobs Data Cools Rate-Hike Bets

Polymarket Traders See 37% Chance of October Fed Rate Hike

CLARITY Act Dies in Senate, Leaving Crypto Regulation to the SEC and CFTC

Bitcoin Slips Below $79K as Traders Price 60% Fed Hike Chance

Tokenized QQQ Holds Above $701 as Fed Rate-Hike Odds Climb to 66%

Fed's Barr Open to Rate Hike as Inflation Persists, Crypto Traders Bet on September Move

Fed Rate Hike Odds Rise to 66% as Trump Calls for Cuts

Fed's Barr Warns Rate Hike Possible If Inflation Persists

Traders See Over 66% Chance of Fed Rate Hike at September Meeting

Prediction Markets Now Favor Fed Rate Hike for September

Gold Holds Two-Day Gain as Fed Rate-Hike Bets Ease

Bitcoin tops $64K as Fed hike bets fade, but spot demand lags

This event signals a potential inflection point in the Federal Reserve's tightening cycle. If rate hikes are truly off the table, we could see a sustained period of dollar weakness and lower real yields—conditions that historically have been strongly bullish for both gold and Bitcoin. The fact that gold posted its biggest weekly gain since January underscores that macro investors are already positioning for this shift, and crypto may follow suit as a 'digital gold' narrative gains traction.

Gold

Gold held its gain after the biggest weekly gain since January as soft US jobs data eased rate-hike concerns.

Gold Posts Best Week Since January After Soft Jobs Data — But Crypto May Not Follow

Gold's Rally Isn't a Risk-On Signal—It's a Warning That Crypto Will Underperform as Recession Fears Grow

Bitcoin

Crypto has increasingly traded as a macro-sensitive asset, with Bitcoin and altcoins highly correlated to liquidity conditions and real interest rates. A potential Fed rate hike would tighten financial conditions, reducing speculative appetite and pressuring digital assets. This event highlights the ongoing dependency of crypto on central bank policy, even as the market narrative shifts toward adoption and regulation.

Renaissance Macro's Neil Dutta stated that upcoming inflation data is critical and could keep a September Fed rate hike in play despite market expectations for the Fed to hold.

Renaissance Macro's Dutta: Hot Inflation Could Keep September Fed Hike in Play

Low Volume Amplifies Inflation Data Risk: Crypto Order Books Poised for a Shock Move

Traders See 45% Chance of September Fed Rate Hike

Goolsbee Says Inflation Is Economy's Biggest Challenge, Prioritizes Bringing It Down

Bitcoin Slips Below Key Averages as ETF Outflows End Five-Day Streak

Bitmine's Weekly ETH Buys Slow to 7,391 as It Nears 5% Supply Goal

BlackRock's Rieder Sees Fed Rate Hike Unlikely After July Jobs Report

Fed's Cook Signals Possible Rate Hike if Disinflation Stalls

Prediction Market Odds of Fed Rate Hike Jump to 27% as Traders Brace for Surprise Move

Trump Halts Iran Strikes, but Bitcoin Stays Flat as Energy Prices Fuel Inflation Fears

US Jobless Claims Hit 1969 Low, Raising Rate Hike Odds and Cooling Crypto Rally

Fund Managers Call Gold Most Undervalued Since March 2023, BofA Survey Shows

Polymarket Sees 64% Probability of Fed Rate Hike in 2026

Gold Holds $4,000 as Oil Tops $90 and Fed Officials Push for July Rate Hike

Oil Breaks $90, Fed Hike Odds Rise, Bitcoin Recovery Stalls

Fed’s Logan Says Energy, Not Wages, Driving Inflation — Rate Hike Fears Rattle Crypto